Estimate Model Of Total Fertility Rate Based On Effectivness Of Contraceptives
Gani Gunawan(1*), Eti Kurniati(2), Icih Sukarsih(3)

1,2,3 Program Studi Matematika, Universitas Islam Bandung, Jl. Ranggamalela No. 1, Bandung 40154, Indonesia

*ggani9905[at]gmail.com

Abstract

Abstract. The calculation of population can be calculated directly through a population census. One of the factors that can affect the number of people in a region is the birth rate or fertility rate. Generally, fertility data collection provide information only on the number of popuation living at the time of the census, and did not record a complete number of live births who later died at the time of the census. This causes the calculation of the fertility rate directly is not possible, so it takes a mathematical method that can indirectly be used to calculate the fertility rate in a region. In this paper we will show an indirect way of calculating fertility. Where this can determine the prevalent birth rate as an indicator of successful control of population through family planning program (KB). So through this calculation can be determined total fertility rate based on the effectiveness of the use of contraceptives.

Keywords: Family Planning (KB), Total Fertility Rate (TFR), Crude Birth Rate (CBR)

Topic: Mathematics